Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.652309 0.749308 0.855133 0.979073 1.120166 1.275707 1.460099
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.527545 0.662673 0.822910 1.026570 1.278175 1.578466 1.963729
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.438553 0.597991 0.802017 1.081340 1.452852 1.928972 2.584408
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.356765 0.525250 0.756698 1.096149 1.579377 2.240358 3.210573
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.301839 0.477107 0.734158 1.135767 1.744080 2.626875 4.000082
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.248494 0.420046 0.687628 1.131203 1.843078 2.934417 4.725454
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.212486 0.382316 0.662776 1.153840 1.984930 3.324586 5.633142
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.175758 0.335729 0.614716 1.129296 2.045134 3.592922 6.385373
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.156952 0.316730 0.609636 1.176142 2.231523 4.093096 7.593473
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.142980 0.303816 0.612777 1.237410 2.451605 4.679941 9.033210
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.125723 0.280930 0.592938 1.251403 2.584963 5.127511 10.280135
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.109383 0.256615 0.565858 1.246016 2.678769 5.511835 11.457411
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.095641 0.235528 0.542432 1.245638 2.785587 5.941801 12.796688
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.084486 0.218068 0.523743 1.252297 2.908350 6.421052 14.304177
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.076505 0.206534 0.516249 1.282589 3.087099 7.040714 16.191194
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067346 0.190144 0.494552 1.276300 3.182550 7.494825 17.783289
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.061411 0.180875 0.488357 1.306040 3.366174 8.167727 19.952177
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.054000 0.166007 0.465448 1.290245 3.437689 8.594662 21.614509
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.049081 0.157121 0.456483 1.308800 3.597337 9.249085 23.900011
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.042778 0.142757 0.430136 1.276468 3.621430 9.579611 25.444406
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.040182 0.139193 0.433290 1.325963 3.869494 10.497663 28.571024
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038328 0.137604 0.441890 1.392472 4.174067 11.598646 32.304891
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.035048 0.130587 0.433089 1.406647 4.334715 12.345568 35.209740